MARKETVIEWS


ffffff

Jul 30, 2007

I.B.M. Plan Ties Training and Accounts

In today’s economy, corporations freely roam the globe for the most efficient, lowest-cost sources of supplies and labor, while American workers are told that the way to compete is constantly to improve their skills with training and education.

Paying for it is usually up to beleaguered employees, which only adds to their sense of economic insecurity.

I.B.M., often a trendsetter in business practices, is taking a step to address the workers’ economic problem — a step it hopes other companies will follow and help encourage a change in tax policy.

I.B.M., at a conference in Washington today, is announcing that it will begin offering its employees in the United States specialized savings accounts for training and education. The “learning accounts” will be modeled on 401(k) retirement accounts, which began in the late 1970s. Workers will put up to $1,000 a year into the accounts, and I.B.M. will contribute 50 cents for every dollar put in by the employee.

Under the I.B.M. plan, the employee decides how and when to spend the money, held in an interest-bearing account. When an employee leaves I.B.M., the individual takes the account.

Companies have long paid for employee education and training. Indeed, I.B.M. spends more than $600 million a year on worker education programs. Yet such spending is typically to upgrade a person’s skills for their next job with the company.

“This is truly path breaking,” said Rosabeth Moss Kanter, a professor at the Harvard business school. “The significance is that it’s controlled by the individual. I’m not aware of any other major corporation doing that, as opposed to programs that are part of some career scheme that the company has in mind.”

The I.B.M. move, Professor Kanter said, is part of a broader evolution in corporate-worker relations. “This is reinventing how a company develops the social contract with its workers in a highly mobile, global economy,” she said.

A key message in that new social contract, I.B.M. executives said, is that whether a person stays with the company for a long career or just for a few years, I.B.M. is a place where people can enhance their skills and be more competitive in a labor market buffeted by globalization and rapid technological change.

Investing to create that kind of corporate climate, they say, should eventually give the company an edge in attracting and retaining talented workers.

In an interview, Samuel J. Palmisano, the chief executive, emphasized that the program was inspired in part by corporate self-interest, noting, “I.B.M. will be more competitive.”

Mr. Palmisano pushed for the learning accounts and the 401(k)-style arrangement, which he said recognized the “dual set of responsibilities in today’s world” of both the individual and the corporation. “It puts the right balance of motivation into the system,” he said. “Everyone has some skin in the game.”

Besides encouraging other corporations, I.B.M. plans to talk with universities, urging them to consider tuition discounts for workers seeking new skills.

A tax change is needed, according to I.B.M. and some economists, to help workers to invest in their own education in new fields. Currently, workers can deduct the cost of education and training in their own occupation, as defined by government job classifications, but not in new careers.

For example, if a software engineer wanted to learn a new programming language, the training costs would be tax deductible. But if that person wanted to train to be a business consultant, that would generally not be tax deductible, even though the new job required related technology and skills. If the programmer wanted to become an emergency room nurse, the education expense would not be tax deductible because it is a different line of work.

Mr. Palmisano would also prefer the law to be changed to allow the new accounts to use pretax dollars, as a 401(k) does.

I.B.M. is by no means alone in pushing for tax change. A policy paper last month by three academics — Grant Aldonas of the Center for Strategic and International Studies, Robert Z. Lawrence of Harvard’s Kennedy School of Government, and Matthew J. Slaughter of the Tuck School of Business at Dartmouth — recommended, among other measures, that Congress approve full deductibility for training expenses by individuals, “even when directed at preparation for an entirely new career.”

The report, “Succeeding in the Global Economy: A New Policy Agenda for the American Worker,” was sponsored by the Financial Services Forum, an organization of chief executives of the largest commercial banks, investment banks and insurers.

The I.B.M. move, said Mr. Slaughter, an economist and a former member of the Council of Economic Advisers in the George W. Bush administration, is “precisely the kind of policy we’d like to see throughout the economy.”

Many policy groups have recommendations to increase the opportunities for workers to upgrade their skills continually.

Last month, for example, the Third Way, a research organization aligned with centrist Democrats, called for the federal student loan program to be extended to adults seeking new skills to climb the occupational ladder.

The I.B.M. learning accounts fit into the larger policy debate about how to cope with an economy of increasing dynamism but one that creates a lot of churn in the labor market. Four million jobs a month, or 25,000 an hour in a business day, are eliminated in the American economy. But more than that are created.

I.B.M., a classic global enterprise, deals with plenty of job churn itself as its worldwide employment has increased in recent years, American employment has declined slightly, with steady hiring and layoffs. In the second quarter of this year, 3,500 I.B.M. workers worldwide were told their jobs were being eliminated. A third of the displaced employees typically find jobs elsewhere in the company.

Steps like the I.B.M. learning accounts could well help some people make transitions to new jobs, but they will do little for many workers, said Jared Bernstein, an economist at the Economic Policy Institute, a liberal research group.

“This is a pretty forward-thinking move, but it’s wrong to think that you can always train your way out of the box that globalization puts many of these workers in,” Mr. Bernstein said. “That larger problem is where the federal government ought to be.”

I.B.M.’s learning accounts will initially be available in 2008 to workers who have been with the company for at least five years in the United States, where the company employed 127,000 people at the end of last year.

The company has earmarked $40 million over the three years for contributions to the learning accounts, which is in addition to its $600 million training budget. And $20 million will be spent on two other new programs — one to send employees to developing nations to work on environmental and educational projects, and the other to train people who want second careers in nonprofit organizations, government and schools.

U.S. to Announce Nuclear Exception for India

WASHINGTON, July 26 — Three years after President Bush urged global rules to stop additional nations from making nuclear fuel, the White House will announce on Friday that it is carving out an exception for India, in a last-ditch effort to seal a civilian nuclear deal between the countries.

Skip to next paragraph
Enlarge This Image

Win McNamee/Getty Images, 2006
Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice on Friday is expected to announce an arrangement that will help India build a nuclear fuel repository.
The scheduled announcement, described Thursday by senior American officials, follows more than a year of negotiations intended to keep an unusual arrangement between the countries from being defeated in New Delhi.

Until the overall deal was approved by Congress last year, the United States was prohibited by federal law from selling civilian nuclear technology to India because it has refused to sign the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty. The legislation passed by Congress allows the United States to sell both commercial nuclear technology and fuel to India, but would require a cutoff in nuclear assistance if India again tests a nuclear weapon. India’s Parliament balked at the deal, with many politicians there complaining that the requirements infringed on India’s sovereignty.

Under the arrangement that is to be announced by Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice, Mr. Bush has agreed to go beyond the terms of the deal that Congress approved, promising to help India build a nuclear fuel repository and find alternative sources of nuclear fuel in the event of an American cutoff, skirting some of the provisions of the law.

In February 2004, President Bush, in a major speech outlining new nuclear policies to prevent proliferation, declared that “enrichment and reprocessing are not necessary for nations seeking to harness nuclear energy for peaceful purposes.” He won the cooperation of allies for a temporary suspension of new facilities to make fuel, but allies that include Canada and Australia have also expressed interest in uranium enrichment.

The problem is a delicate one for the administration, because this month American officials are working at the United Nations Security Council to win approval of harsher economic sanctions against Iran for trying to enrich uranium. India is already a nuclear weapons state and has refused to sign the treaty; Iran, a signer of the treaty, does not yet have nuclear weapons.

But in an interview Thursday, R. Nicholas Burns, the under secretary of state for political affairs, who negotiated the deal, said, “Iran in no way, shape or form would merit similar treatment because Iran is a nuclear outlaw state.”

He noted that Iran hid its nuclear activities for many years from international inspectors, and that it still had not answered most of their questions about evidence that could suggest it was seeking weapons.

Because India never signed the treaty, it too was considered a nuclear outlaw for decades. But Mr. Bush, eager to place relations with India on a new footing, waived many of the restrictions in order to sign the initial deal. It was heavily supported by Indian-Americans and American nuclear equipment companies, which see a huge potential market for their reactors and expertise.

Representative Edward J. Markey, a Massachusetts Democrat who opposed the initial deal and said he would try to defeat the new arrangement, said Thursday, “If you make an exception for India, we will be preaching from a barstool to the rest of the world.”

Though India would be prohibited from using the fuel it purchases from the United States for nuclear weapons, the ability to reprocess the fuel means India’s other supplies would be freed up to expand its arsenal.

“It creates a double standard,” Mr. Markey said. “One set of rules for countries we like, another for countries we don’t.”

Robert J. Einhorn, a scholar at the Center for Strategic and International Studies, said that in “the first phase of negotiations with India, the administration made concessions that put the country on par with countries that have signed” the Nonproliferation Treaty. (Israel and Pakistan are the only other countries that have refused to sign it, and North Korea quit the treaty four years ago.)

“Now we’ve gone beyond that, and given India something that we don’t give to Russia and China.”

In general, advocates of a far-stronger relationship between India and the United States have favored the nuclear cooperation deal, and it passed through Congress fairly easily. But those arguing that the administration has not made good on its promises to clamp down on the trade in nuclear fuel argue that Mr. Bush could be setting a precedent that will undercut his nonproliferation initiative.

Mr. Burns said he disagreed because “this agreement is so very much in our national interest.”

“It will further our nonproliferation efforts globally” by gradually bringing India into the nuclear fold, he said.

Jul 27, 2007

'Harry Potter' tale is fastest-selling book in history

LONDON: The seventh and final volume in the Harry Potter series has become the fastest-selling book in history, its publishers said Monday, with more than 11 million copies sold during the first 24 hours in three markets alone.

U.S. sales of the eagerly awaited "Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows" hit 8.3 million, comfortably beating the previous installment, "Harry Potter and the Half-Blood Prince," which posted sales of 6.9 million copies in the first day, the U.S. publisher, Scholastic, announced.

In Britain, Bloomsbury sold a record 2.7 million copies of the final Potter book in the first 24 hours, up from just over two million for the previous Potter book. Bloomsbury said that nearly 400,000 copies of the English-language edition of the latest book were also bought in Germany.

Thousands of Potter fans waited outside bookstores in major cities around the world over the weekend to get hold of the book, which answers the questions "Who dies at the end?" and, in particular, "Does Harry survive?"

In India, police said that they had seized hundreds of pirated copies of the cover of "Deathly Hallows" after raiding a printing press, storage depot and private home in Bangalore.

Unauthorized Internet versions of the book circulated last week, and two U.S. newspapers ran reviews before publication, but it was not enough to dampen enthusiasm for the last chapter of the boy wizard's increasingly bloody fight against the forces of evil.

Lisa Holton, president of Scholastic Trade and Book Fairs, likened the weekend excitement in the United States to the hysteria that greeted the Beatles' first visit to the country.

"This weekend kids and adults alike are sitting on buses, in the park, on airplanes and in restaurants reading 'Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows,' " she said in a statement.

Barnes & Noble, the world's largest book retailer, sold 1.8 million copies of "Deathly Hallows" in the first 48 hours, while Borders Group sold around 1.2 million worldwide in a single day, both records for the outlets.

"This isn't the end of Harry Potter by any means," said Steve Riggio, chief of Barnes & Noble. "Barnes & Noble expects to sell millions of Harry Potter books over the next few years."

Reviews of "Deathly Hallows" have been almost universally glowing, noting the darker tone of the seventh book, in which several characters die. Critical reaction to the previous six Potter tales, which sold 325 million copies worldwide, was mixed.

The schoolboy wizard's creator, J.K. Rowling, is likely to see her fortune swell further over the coming years. She is estimated to be worth £545 million, or $1.12 billion, already, making her the first dollar-billionaire author.

In addition to the books, the first five Hollywood adaptations of her Harry Potter stories have amassed around $4 billion at the global box office. The final film in the franchise is slated for release in 2010.

"After 608 crammed pages, it's still hard to believe it really is the end of the road for Harry," said Henry Sutton, books editor for The Daily Mirror tabloid in Britain. He said he believed that the epilogue at the end of book seven meant there was "no possible return" for the Harry Potter saga.

Not everyone agrees. Hours after the release of "Deathly Hallows," Ladbrokes bookmakers cut their odds on an eighth book to 10/1 from 16/1, following a flurry of bets.

Nuclear deal with India meets skepticism in Washington

WASHINGTON: Nicholas Burns, the U.S. undersecretary of state, has reiterated that the just-completed nuclear deal with India complies with U.S. law, but some experts doubted that, and lawmakers said the agreement could face a rough road in the U.S. Congress.

Congressional sources and other experts said Wednesday the agreement reached last week appears to go a long way toward meeting the demands of the Indian nuclear establishment, giving New Delhi rights only accorded to Japan and the European Union, core allies of Washington.

"The administration is going to call this a success even though from policy and legal perspectives, there are major problems," said one congressional source, who spoke anonymously because he learned details of the deal on a confidential basis.

The pact, approved by the Indian cabinet Wednesday, would allow India access to U.S. nuclear fuel and equipment, even though New Delhi has refused to join nonproliferation pacts and has tested nuclear weapons.

"We're very satisfied because we know the agreement is well within the bounds of the Hyde Act," Burns told reporters after testifying before the Senate Foreign Relations Committee.

The Hyde Act, approved by Congress in December, created an exception to U.S. export law to allow nuclear cooperation with India. The nuclear accord, called a 123 agreement after a section of the U.S. Atomic Energy Act, spells out technical details for that nuclear cooperation.

Like the Hyde Act, the 123 agreement must be approved by Congress. But that cannot happen until India agrees on a program of inspections of its nuclear facilities by the International Atomic Energy Agency and the 45-nation Nuclear Suppliers Group changes its rules.

"None of this will happen this year," the congressional source said.

In a letter to President George W. Bush, 22 members of Congress, including some who had voted for the accord, said a 123 agreement that does not meet the Hyde Act's minimal conditions "places congressional approval deeply into doubt."

The conditions include no nuclear testing, permanent and unconditional IAEA inspections of declared Indian nuclear materials and facilities, and an end to nuclear cooperation if the agreement is violated.

Others are a ban on transferring enrichment and reprocessing technology to India and a requirement that Washington give prior approval on a case-by-case basis before India reprocesses U.S. nuclear material, the letter noted.

"These conditions and restrictions are not optional nor are they advisory," said Edward Markey, a Democratic representative from Massachusetts, who organized the letter.

"They were passed by the Congress and signed by the president. If the 123 agreement has been intentionally negotiated to sidestep or bypass the law and the will of Congress, final approval for this deal will be jeopardized," he added.

Experts and congressional sources said the United States agreed to give India advance, long-term permission to reprocess U.S.-origin nuclear material once New Delhi builds a new reprocessing facility that would only use such material.

This is happening despite the fact that the Americans "do not give consent rights to reprocess except to our closest allies, Japan and Euratom," the European Atomic Energy Community, said Sharon Squassoni, a nonproliferation expert with the Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.

The 123 agreement also says Washington has the right to have India return U.S.-origin fuel and technology if New Delhi tests another nuclear device but stipulates "this will not undercut their fuel assurances," a congressional source said.

This apparently means that while the United States might cut off nuclear cooperation in the event of an Indian nuclear test, it will seek to ensure India continues receiving fuel from other sources, he and other experts said.

Australia signaled Thursday it is edging toward a decision to sell uranium to India despite the refusal by New Delhi to sign the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty, The Associated Press reported from Canberra.

The Australian daily newspaper reported that Alexander Downer, the foreign minister, would soon make a submission to cabinet ministers in favor of such sales, and a senior government minister said he would support the move under the right conditions.

"There is speculation in today's paper that the government will look at that and if it comes to the government, of course we'll look at it," Treasurer Peter Costello told Melbourne Radio 3AW. "I would want to know that there were very strict safeguards in place before we sold to any country that was outside the Nonproliferation Treaty."

India would become Australia's first uranium customer that is not part of the Nuclear Nonproliferation Treaty.

Bird flu found in chickens in India's remote northeast

GAUHATI, India: Authorities in India's remote northeast said Wednesday that bird flu was responsible for the deaths of 130 chickens in the area and began slaughtering poultry, officials said.

The presence of the deadly H5N1 virus was found in samples from a farm in the state of Manipur, near the border with Myanmar, said Bimal Singh, a senior official in the Manipur chief minister's office.

The local government has sent teams of health officials to the area and started slaughtering chicken and other poultry within a five-kilometer (three mile) radius of the Chenngmeirong village where the chickens died, he said.

The dead chickens were found earlier in the month and samples were sent to India's High Risk Animal Disease Laboratory in the central Indian city of Bhopal, said Singh.

India confirmed an outbreak of H5N1 in the west last year, but declared itself bird flu free The H5N1 virus has killed at least 192 people, largely in Asia, since late 2003, according to the World Health Organization.

Most of the fatalities have been among people who work in close contact with poultry.

Microsoft expects more growth outside U.S.

PARIS: Largely lost in the quarterly flurry over Microsoft's financial results is just how reliant the company is on business outside of the United States - 57 percent of its more than $50 billion in total sales over the past 12 months, for instance.

Jean-Philippe Courtois, the Frenchman who runs the software company's corporate machine outside of North America, said Thursday that he expected that figure to keep rising for the foreseeable future, partly because of the heady 25 percent-or-more growth rates coming from about 40 countries in Europe and Asia.

Microsoft has sold 60 million copies of Vista, its operating system software, Courtois said, adding that he was "very pleased" with the adoption rate outside the United States.

Last week, the company reported 15 percent growth for its latest financial year, which ended on June 30.

But Courtois, speaking from Paris before Microsoft's annual meeting with financial analysts in Redmond, Washington, said Central and Eastern Europe and Southeast Asia were climbing far faster.
Courtois identified a handful of other positive trends for Microsoft globally. For the first time in memory, Microsoft's growth rate for computer server software is beating the rate for open-source software, at least for the first quarter, according to private tallies. And the Xbox, the Microsoft game console, is taking market share from Nintendo and Sony in "many countries," he said, though he would not name them.

Courtois pointed out also that some of Microsoft's online services, like Live Mail and MSN Messenger, were market leaders in many places outside of the United States. But everywhere, Microsoft is under pressure from the world's leading Internet advertising company, Google, which is in the process of spending $3.1 billion to acquire DoubleClick, an online ad company.

Online rivals to Google, as well as consumer advocates in the United States and Europe, have complained that the Google acquisition would hurt competition. In Washington, the Federal Trade Commission will rule on the issue, while in Brussels, the European Commission will take up the purchase.

Courtois said Microsoft did not have a direct role in the commission's inquiry in Europe, but he noted that there "is some concern in the media industry" about the concentration of advertising clout in a single company. "The commission and others looking into it have some numbers to check out," he said.

Microsoft's own appeal of its record European antitrust case will be issued Sept. 17. Whatever the fate of the fine - €497.2 million, or $682 million - and others imposed by the European Commission since the 2004 decision, the bottom line is unlikely to be affected; the company has put an amount equal to the penalties aside in an escrow account, pending the appeal.

Courtois also said Microsoft's non-North American growth was "balanced" between large-volume business customers and small and midsize enterprises.

India's Infosys Technologies wins US$250 million outsourcing deal from Philips Electronics

NEW DELHI: Indian software company Infosys Technologies Ltd. said Wednesday it has won a US$250 million (€180 million) outsourcing order from Royal Philips Electronics NV to handle its backoffice work relating to finance and administration.

Under the seven-year deal, Bangalore-based Infosys will take over the Dutch company's back-office centers in India, Poland and Thailand, Chief Operating Officer S.D. Shibulal told The Associated Press.

Philips currently uses these centers to process purchase orders, prepare bills and handle other tasks relating to financial administration. All that work will now shift to Infosys.

"This is one of the largest (outsourcing deals) in the finance and administration space," Shibulal said.

It is also "a first for Infosys" in terms of the number of employees that it will be taking over from Philips, he said. The three centers currently employ about 1,400 people and all of them will transfer to Infosys rolls.

"Infosys clearly demonstrated a willingness to invest in people with a strong HR process, better solution quality ... and a robust risk mitigation and transition plan," Gerard Ruizendaal, Chief Strategy Officer at Philips, said in a statement. "Their leadership capabilities were clearly evident in all interactions and proposal submissions, with a strong focus on the customer," he said.

News of the deal lifted Infosys shares by 0.7 percent to 1,990 rupees in Wednesday's trading on the Bombay Stock Exchange.

The deal is intended to help Philips focus on its core business of lighting and electronic equipment manufacturing, while Infosys benefits from higher revenues and expanding global footprint, Shibulal said.

"It is in line with our Europe strategy," he said. "The plan is to leverage the Poland center and further enhance our presence in Europe."

Companies like Infosys have seen their sales and profit grow rapidly in recent years as Western companies increasingly transfer software development and back-office work to India, where wages are low and skilled, English-speaking workers are plentiful.

To keep the momentum going, Indian software companies are looking to win more customers outside the United States, traditionally the largest client country.

Increasing orders from Europe also helps them cushion against a weak dollar or a possible slowdown in the United States.

Earlier this month, Infosys cut its forecast for full-year revenues and profit because of the rupee's sharp appreciation against the U.S. dollar.

North America accounts for 65 percent of the company's revenue that totaled US$3.1 billion (€2.24 billion) in fiscal year ended March, while Europe's share was about 25 percent.

Arcelor Mittal plans two steel plants in India

NEW DELHI (MarketWatch) -- The world's largest steelmaker Arcelor Mittal (MT : arcelor mittal ny reg sh cl a
News , chart , profile , more
Last: 61.35-3.50-5.40%

12:07am 07/27/2007

Delayed quote dataAdd to portfolio
Analyst
Create alertInsider
Discuss
Financials
Sponsored by:
MT61.35, -3.50, -5.4%) Wednesday said it plans to build two steel plants in India each with a capacity of 10 million metric tons a year, in what could turn out to be the single largest foreign direct investment in the country with a likely investment of over $20 billion.
Arcelor Mittal plans to build the steel plants in the resource-rich eastern states of Jharkhand and Orissa, where rival Posco (005490.SE : 005490.SE
News , chart , profile , more
Last: 0.000.000.00%

12:00am 12/30/1899

Delayed quote dataAdd to portfolio
Analyst
Create alertInsider
Discuss
Financials
Sponsored by:
005490.SE0.00, 0.00, 0.0%) is set to build a 12 million metric ton a year steel plant by 2016 for $12 billion, so far India's single largest foreign investment.
"We have appointed consultants. Once the detailed project reports are ready, we will decide on the capacity. Today, we want infrastructure for 10 million tons each in both the states," Chief Executive Officer L. N. Mittal told reporters after a meeting with India's Petroleum & Natural Gas Minister Murli Deora.
Arcelor Mittal's plan underscores the race among global steel giants to build plants in India to grab a slice of the booming local demand and to secure the supply of key inputs such as iron ore.
Arcelor Mittal, which had earlier said it plans to invest around $10 billion to build a 12 million metric ton per year steel plant either in Jharkhand or Orissa, is waiting for approval from the state governments.
"We are meeting the chief minister of Jharkhand today. We will also meet the chief minister of Orissa to seek their cooperation for the (proposed) steel mills," Mittal said.
Mittal said his company wants "the same support (for the proposed mills) as given to Posco for infrastructure building."
The Orissa state government has given land to the South Korean firm for its steel project.
Local firm Tata Steel Ltd. (500470.BY : 500470.BY
News , chart , profile , more
Last: 0.000.000.00%

12:00am 12/30/1899

Delayed quote dataAdd to portfolio
Analyst
Create alertInsider
Discuss
Financials
Sponsored by:
500470.BY0.00, 0.00, 0.0%) and state-run Steel Authority of India (500113.BY : 500113.BY
News , chart , profile , more
Last: 0.000.000.00%

12:00am 12/30/1899

Delayed quote dataAdd to portfolio
Analyst
Create alertInsider
Discuss
Financials
Sponsored by:
500113.BY0.00, 0.00, 0.0%) have also announced plans to expand capacity.
SAIL, which controls the highly productive Chiria iron ore mines in Jharkhand, has said it aims to double its production to 24 million metric tons by fiscal year 2010 and to 60 million tons by 2020.
Other steel firms have also sought rights to the Chiria mines as a precondition to setting up new projects.
"Everybody likes to have the Chiria mines and we are no different," Mittal said.
Asked if he was confident of getting mining rights in India, Mittal said: "Definitely, there's an assurance from the government of India that all new steel plants will be assured of (iron) ore."
Mittal also said his company is seeking coal mines of at least 600 million tons reserves each for both the proposed steel mills.
"We are confident that we will get support from both Jharkhand and Orissa governments on mines," Mittal said.

Jul 25, 2007

Rupee touches fresh nine-year high of 40.22

MUMBAI: The rupee gradually approached the crucial 40-mark today, touching new nine-year high of 40.22 against the US currency in early trade, drawing strong support from pouring down portfolio investments into Indian equity.

Foreign investments crossed USD 10 billion so far in the currency year after a record single month inflow of USD 5.8 billion in July.

In fairly active trade at the Interbank Foreign Exchange (forex) market, the local currency resumed strong at 40.22/23 per dollar from overnight close of 40.28/29 a dollar but later was quoted at 40.2450/2550 a dollar in late morning deals.

The absence of dollar demand from oil refiners as well as any major intervention by the central bank in the face of unceasing flow of foreign investments helped rupee's surge to new highs, forex dealers said.

Asian markets, including Indian bourses, remained strong and the benchmark Sensex soared by 127 points this morning.

Traders said the rupee is likely to breach 40 level in the near future if the Reserve Bank of India did not intervene aggressively in the exchange market.

global equity markets

Equity markets across regions have performed well. But equity valuations are also increasingly becoming higher. At a global level, the risk-taking appetite of investors is increasing.

The key concerns today are direction of the US economy and sub-prime lending. What is encouraging, though, is that US consumers are continuing to consume like before. We remain long on equities compared to fixed income. We prefer emerging markets and within the Asia Pacific region, we prefer India, Korea, China and the Philippines. While Korea looks cheap within the Asia Pacific region, Chinese H shares (those listed in Hong Kong) are also relatively undervalued.

Sub-prime lending and rising energy prices are short-term concerns for global equity markets. The other risk is imposition of global trade barriers. What are your earnings estimates for the Indian market? Which sectors are you bullish on? We estimate 16% earnings growth each in FY08 and FY09. These expected growth numbers are encouraging. In terms of sectors, domestically inclined sectors are the best bets. Such sectors and companies are reasonably resilient to performance of economies across the world.

Finance, infrastructure and telecom companies are among the best companies in the Indian market. Moreover, India has the highest growth rates in cellular subscription across the world. What is the message you have for retail investors? It is good to have a diversified portfolio. Also, it’s better to have a long-term view. Liquidity concerns can be there over the short term, while over the long term, India is likely to benefit from overseas investments.

Oil prices continue falls in Asian trade

SINGAPORE: Oil prices continued lower in Asian trade on Wednesday on profit-taking and an improved outlook for energy supplies, dealers said.

At 10:06 am, New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in September, was 30 cents lower at $73.26 per barrel from $73.56 in late US trades yesterday.

Brent North Sea crude for September was down 28 cents at $74.80.

Dealers said the market was looking ahead to the weekly report on US stockpiles due today.

The focus would be on gasoline supplies in the United States, which are under pressure during the main driving season -- when many Americans take to the highways for summer vacations.

Tony Nunan, of Mitsubishi Corp's international petroleum business in Tokyo, said many players expected a large increase in US refinery run rates and a corresponding build in gasoline inventories.

"Everybody's expecting a large increase in refinery runs in the United States," Nunan said.

He said downward pressure on prices has also come from speculators who have cashed in their positions and taken profits.

Coca-Cola to buy stake in S Korea bottling unit

SEOUL: Coca-Cola Co has agreed to take part in LG Household & Health Care's acquisition of the South Korean bottling arm of Australia's Coca-Cola Amatil Ltd, a source familiar with the deal said on Wednesday.

The US beverage giant will take a 10 per cent stake in the South Korean business of Coca-Cola Amatil, which South Korea's LG Household agreed to buy for $445 million-$467 million early this month, the source told media.

LG Household, which has said it hope to sell part of shares in the newly acquired unit to Coca-Cola to help secure basic liquids, will retain 90 per cent, the source added. LG declined to comment.

Growth had been slowing in Amatil's South Korean business as more consumers turn to healthier, sugar-free drinks, but it boasts of strong distribution networks to major restaurants and retail chains in the country.

Coca-Cola controls 48 per cent of South Korea's soft drinks market but lost volume following a recall of Coca-Cola bottles in July 2006 after a criminal poisoning case.

Rupee-hit IT firms seek price revision

CHANDIGARH: Hit hard by consistent rise in rupee value against the US dollar, IT firms in Punjab and Chandigarh are demanding price revision from their foreign clients, besides adopting cost management practice to maintain margins.

"We are now asking our foreign clients especially in the US to revise the price by at least 5 to 7 per cent in order to neutralise the adverse impact on our proceeds," IDS Infotech Managing Director Partap Aggarwal said here.

The regular appreciation of rupee against dollar during the past couple of months has hit the top line growth of the companies in the northern region by 9 to 10 per cent. "The profitability of this sector has taken a beating as a direct fallout of depreciating US dollar against rupee," he said.

The Indian currency has risen by about nine per cent since January this year.

According to experts, IT firms in Chandigarh and Punjab have lost almost Rs 40-50 crore on account of the weak US dollar during the past several months.

The companies have also initiated an exercise of cost management in respect of HR services so as to maintain competitiveness and viability. "Since human resources are key input in the IT sector, the companies are also learnt to have started optimising their resources through extra working hours and stopping the practice of hiring temporary people for a while," said an expert.

Nearly 100 IT companies including Dell, IBM, Quark etc are working in Mohali and Chandigarh with an expected annual turnover of Rs 400 to 500 crore. Majority of the companies have their BPO and software development centres in the cities with clients in the US and Europe.

US firm ATC eyes stake in tower cos

NEW DELHI: American Tower Corporation (ATC) chairman and CEO James Taiclet on Tuesday said it was open to acquiring stakes in the tower arm of Indian telcos, setting up towers and even managing the infrastructure of companies here as part of its strategy to become an active player in the world’s fastest growing telecoms market.

Mr Taiclet said it had already initiated ‘introductory talks’ with several Indian telecom operators for possible alliances, but refused to give further details. ATC, the global telecom tower major, is also looking at Indian operators who can sell their complete infrastructure (100%) and then leaseback of towers, thus helping operators raise resources.

“We have substantial resources to put in the country,” Mr Taiclet said. “We are initiating conversations, serious ones, with all telecom operators in the country. We want to use our expertise to help them create a commercial collocation passive infrastructure business,” he added.

American Towers has already got the Foreign Investment Promotion Board’s permission to set up a 100% subsidiary in India.

Mr Taiclet pointed out that a neutral manager of telecom towers would be more amiable for sharing towers among different operators since this model would ensure that all players get a fair treatment. “The US experience has been that an independent tower company sites host approximately 2.5 times operators per tower when compared to 1.5 for operator owned sites,” he added.

ATC is one of the largest independent operators of communications sites with an enterprise value of over $23 billion. The company has over 22,000 towers, a bulk of which are in the United States, with the rest being in Mexico and Brazil. It also operates over 10,000 rooftop sites. According to Mr Taiclet, ATC has constructed over 8,000 towers and about 20% of all wireless traffic in the US is carried by it.

“We will soon open a regional HQ in New Delhi. A regional president will be announced shortly,” Mr Taiclet said.
Global tower companies such as ATC and Crown Castle are eyeing opportunities in the Indian market as all major telcos here—Bharti Airtel, Reliance Communications, Tata Teleservices and Idea Cellular—over the last couple of months have hived off their physical infrastructure in line with global practices.

The move, in addition to increasing operational efficiency, will also enable these companies to unlock value for its shareholders and also help them share towers.

Besides, the scale of infrastructure requirement over the next couple of years also brings huge opportunities for standalone tower companies. To put this is perspective, consider this: As per telecom regulator Trai, the country needs about 330,000 telecom towers by 2010 from about 110,000 currently to touch the projected 500 million subscriber base

Telcos want DoT to expand rural towers

NEW DELHI: With telecom minister A Raja demanding that operators show proof of their commitment towards rural telephony, service providers in turn have demanded increased commitment from the government towards supporting their rural foray.

Cellular operators have approached the Department of Telecom (DoT) demanding that in the upcoming tender, which will extend support from the Universal Service Obligation Fund (USOF) for setting up telecom towers be expanded to 25,000 towers from the proposed 10,000.

DoT has just concluded a tender for setting up about 8,000 towers in rural India with support from USOF. Cellular operators have also asked the government to extend support from the USOF for subsidising handsets in addition to seeking that revenues from shared infrastructure be exempted from levies. All telecom companies pay 5% of their total revenues towards the USOF, which is used to fund rural telephony.

The Cellular Operators Association of India (COAI), in its communication to DoT has pointed out that Trai in its recent report had said that India would require about 3,30,000 towers by 2010 as against the current 100,000.

“We understand that the second phase of the scheme is already under consideration by the government and would like to suggest that it be enhanced both in size as well as scope to deliver maximum benefits to customers.

We believe that given the enormity of the task before us, the scale should be scheme should be significantly enhanced and should cover at least 25,000 towers,” COAI said. The association has also suggested that since the benchmark levels for costs and subsidies had already been established in the first phase, this could be extended to the second tender also.

With regard to Mr Raja’s call that operators take steps to roll-out wireless broadband in rural India, the COAI has said that the high-entry barrier for the terminal would first have to be addressed to make this a reality. “The terminal can be a handset, a fixed wireless terminal or even as PC terminal that is enabled through wireless. It is thus suggested that customer premise equipment may be considered for subsidy through the USO Fund”.

COAI has also asked the government to implement the Trai’s recommendation that operators be given a discounts in the payment of their license fee and spectrum charges as an incentive for rural roll-out.

At the same time, they have also requested that revenues from sharing of infrastructure be exempted from all sector levies. “This will act as a big incentive for service providers to share infrastructure, and will thus enable faster spread of affordable service to far-flung areas in the country,” COAI added.

Jul 24, 2007

Chasing cool hunters, Dell spruiks customisation

Dell Australia says its new multi-coloured laptop line is just the first step in a plan to sell computers unique to each buyer.

Jeff Morris, Dell's client and computing strategist, said in an interview that customers would soon be able to upload a photograph or logo to Dell, which could then be embedded into their laptop's lid.

He said although internal hardware was still important, how computers looked and felt was now at the "top of the stack" when it came to consumer buying decisions.

"Imagine being able to buy a notebook ... [where] the LCD back potentially has a picture of your family, or has maybe the logo of your football team," said Morris.

"And not a sticker, it's embossed or embedded into the notebook."

Another option would be for customers to have information, such as their name and address, laser etched into the base of the notebook or on the lid.

Last month, Dell revamped its Inspiron laptop line with eight different colour options, including "flamingo pink", "ruby red", "sunshine yellow" and "espresso brown".

Many consumers have long perceived Dell as a bland computer maker offering low-cost, reliable machines, but its recent focus on design could give it cachet among younger, style-conscious buyers.

"[Laptops] are no different to your cell phone right - people want cell phones that look cool but they also want their phone to look different to everybody else's," Morris said.

In Australia, Dell has long played second fiddle to HP in terms of market share.

The latest figures from IDC show Dell has 15.4 per cent of the desktop/laptop computer market, compared to HP's 20.5 per cent. Acer and Toshiba take out the third and fourth spots with 11.8 per cent and 8.5 per cent, respectively.

But with the portable computer market growing 32.4 per cent in the year to March (desktop computer sales dropped 1.5 per cent), all of the players are looking to differentiate their products through design.

Morris acknowledged competitors such as HP already offered laptops with various designs laminated into the plastic, but the products "all look the same" and there was no way for the customer to pick their own unique design.

"What I want to do is I want to build a notebook that's YOUR notebook," he said.

Morris admitted that while Dell had always offered complete customisation of internal hardware components, "cool" designs were mostly limited to its high-end XPS line.

"In the mainstream space in terms of the old Inspiron product, the ID [industrial design] has been a bit old, it's been around a long time and we missed the jump on that market, but we're not going to miss it again, and we're going to take it to the next level," he said.

The technology required to completely personalise laptops existed today, he said, but the challenge was to be able to do it on a mass scale - 100,000 units in a week - and deliver the product to the customer within 7-10 days.

"We're working with the people who make all those types of technologies, and seeing how can we take what they have and bring it on a mass production scale into the Dell model," said Morris.

He said it was difficult to put a timeline on when completely personalised products would be offered, but Dell would refresh its laptop line with new design options as early as this year.

"We may bring out some designs potentially and you can choose a design on the back, and then the next phase would be where you're uploading a design to us, and that design appears on your notebook," he said.

"You may see some of these things come more on the high-end first and then come down to the low-end."

Pregnancy(precausion)

Pregnancy doesn't mean you'll be kicked out of the aerobics class, but there are precautions to take.

IN SITCOMS, THE classic faux pas of the aerobics class would be the person who doesn't know how to follow a routine, followed by the person whose pants split down the back, followed by the person who does a really loud fart. No observer of culture would disagree with those: they are your cliches. They never happen.

The true faux pas is being singled out for anything at all by the instructor, who knows that it's a faux pas so would never dream of doing this frivolously. They would never comment on the suitability of your footwear, for instance, unless you had actually turned up in thongs. Ergo, you will only be singled out when the instructor does the obligatory "Does anybody ... ?" and you say "Yes! Me!" And unless you go to yoga, where they ask you about your periods - and I don't even know where to start with the social death incurred there - the questions will be "Any injuries? Any pregnancies now or in the past three months?"

Now, the first is easy. Unless you are on crutches, you deny all injury. If you say "I have injured my knee", they will say "Try to avoid the exercises involving that knee".

With pregnancy, they will tell you these things: don't get too hot; make sure you have plenty to drink; make sure you have a snack handy; don't do anything that feels really wrong; stop if you feel faint; don't do high-impact aerobics; don't do abdominal exercises that necessitate lying on your back. You see how fast I did that? It will take them about 20 minutes and the rest of the class will look really bored, and they'll all give you dirty looks, and you'll wish you were dead. "Why isn't she in maternity spin?" their faces will say.

So what you want to determine is how many of those rules are real rules and how many of them can be filed under "stupid, put-your-feet-up advice, dating from when there was a world war on".

Warnings about overheating are valid. There is evidence to suggest that overheating in the first trimester (through saunas as well as by exercising) increases the risk of neural-tube defects in the foetus, causing, for instance, spina bifida. And in the second and third trimesters, studies on animals have associated overheating with low birth weight.

How do you tell if you're getting dangerously hot? Two ways: keep your aerobic exercise to a 45-minute maximum and do a "talk test" - if you cannot speak without gasping for breath, you are exercising too hard.

Drinking plenty of water will, unsurprisingly, help keep your core temperature down and avoid dehydration, which affects your efficiency adversely and may make you faint (you can't dehydrate your foetus, though, or at least not in a spin class).

The snack advice is just to prevent fainting. "Feeling really wrong" is a catch-all concept to cover the fact that you vomit more readily and are more likely than a non-pregnant person to go into labour. This is all commonsense and you definitely don't need to inconvenience your classmates to be told these amazingly obvious things.

Exercise undertaken in the supine position is a minefield. First, you have reduced cardiac output throughout your pregnancy and lying on your back reduces it further, as does the exercise itself, during which oxygen will be preferentially distributed away from the uterus. This is not a good thing. Plus, later on, if you lie flat on your back, the weight of the uterus can compress the inferior vena cava, which carries blood from your lower body back to your heart. This can make you feel faint: I know someone who actually did pass out from this recently.

A third of pregnant women will find that their abdominal muscles separate, in which case you have to desist from exercising any muscles in that area. Jogging and other high-impact aerobic moves (like, say, a really energetic grapevine) can cause lordosis (an abnormal forward curvature of the spine), which makes your behind stick out, hence its nickname "pride of pregnancy". It can also give you backache.

Returning to protocol: in an ideal world you could say you were pregnant once, they would tell you it all once and then you could continue as normal.
Unfortunately, aerobics teachers, like ticket inspectors, see 30 times more yous than you see of thems, so they never recognise you and you have to tell them every time.

Realising this, I didn't say anything at all to the female spin instructor until I was so, erm, pronounced that I got wedged between two of the exercise bikes on my way out. Like an earwig. Reasonably enough, she said, "Why didn't you say anything earlier?" I said, "I did! Months ago!" which I suspect she knows isn't true and now whenever I go she makes an enormous great fuss and diverts the fan right onto me, and everybody hates me, so I've had to stop going.

This dearth of exercise over the next three months will lead to increased breathlessness and weight gain, will amplify the likelihood of a difficult labour and lengthen my recovery. And all for the want of a bit of social eptitude.


Drinking plenty of water will, unsurprisingly, help keep your core temperature down and avoid dehydration, which affects your efficiency adversely and may make you faint (you can't dehydrate your foetus, though, or at least not in a spin class).

The snack advice is just to prevent fainting. "Feeling really wrong" is a catch-all concept to cover the fact that you vomit more readily and are more likely than a non-pregnant person to go into labour. This is all commonsense and you definitely don't need to inconvenience your classmates to be told these amazingly obvious things.

Exercise undertaken in the supine position is a minefield. First, you have reduced cardiac output throughout your pregnancy and lying on your back reduces it further, as does the exercise itself, during which oxygen will be preferentially distributed away from the uterus. This is not a good thing. Plus, later on, if you lie flat on your back, the weight of the uterus can compress the inferior vena cava, which carries blood from your lower body back to your heart. This can make you feel faint: I know someone who actually did pass out from this recently.

A third of pregnant women will find that their abdominal muscles separate, in which case you have to desist from exercising any muscles in that area. Jogging and other high-impact aerobic moves (like, say, a really energetic grapevine) can cause lordosis (an abnormal forward curvature of the spine), which makes your behind stick out, hence its nickname "pride of pregnancy". It can also give you backache.

Returning to protocol: in an ideal world you could say you were pregnant once, they would tell you it all once and then you could continue as normal.
Unfortunately, aerobics teachers, like ticket inspectors, see 30 times more yous than you see of thems, so they never recognise you and you have to tell them every time.

Realising this, I didn't say anything at all to the female spin instructor until I was so, erm, pronounced that I got wedged between two of the exercise bikes on my way out. Like an earwig. Reasonably enough, she said, "Why didn't you say anything earlier?" I said, "I did! Months ago!" which I suspect she knows isn't true and now whenever I go she makes an enormous great fuss and diverts the fan right onto me, and everybody hates me, so I've had to stop going.

This dearth of exercise over the next three months will lead to increased breathlessness and weight gain, will amplify the likelihood of a difficult labour and lengthen my recovery. And all for the want of a bit of social eptitude.

Aviation stocks 'won't fly high forever'

Aviation stocks are a good way to "rev up" a share portfolio but will never form the core of an investment strategy because of their volatility, according to analysts at an aviation conference.

The Australian aviation industry has enjoyed a sweet spot in recent months, with stable fuel prices, capacity constraints and rising passenger demand fuelling a surge in profit and share prices.

The Qantas share price, for example has almost doubled in the last year, from $2.95 last July to Monday's close of $5.80.

The airline also posted four profit upgrades through the course of the last financial year, the most recent one pointing to a full year pre-tax profit of over $1 billion.

And while Virgin Blue shares have shed more than fifty cents since April, they are still well up on the $1.60 range they were trading in a year ago, currently fetching about $2.24.

"They're actually making money and the main reason is capacity constraints," Deutsche Bank transport analyst Jason Bloom told the Asia Pacific Aviation Summit.

"The investor mix is changing as well. You have a lot more interest from the hedge funds as opposed to the long term equity funds.

"They're attracted to industries with high volatility."

The growth of the Chinese and Indian middle class augured well for Australian airlines, as did the increasing propensity of tourists to travel by air.

But percentage capacity growth was now into double digit figures, and the entry of new low cost entrants like Tiger Air would significantly decrease yields.

"There's no way the cycle's been killed off," said JP Morgan analyst Matthew Crowe.

"There are some structural changes, but I wouldn't say goodbye to the cycle."

Investors looking for exposure to the aviation market would be well advised to consider aircraft leasing companies, he said.

Both Mr Bloom and Commonwealth Bank transport analyst Cassandra Meagher agreed the industry would remain volatile.

"Basically, airlines have got big costs, they've got strong labor unions and they've got commodity prices and it's not a great recipe for success," Ms Meagher said.

Exposure to geo-political tensions or public health crises like the SARS epidemic also had to be considered.

"(American billionaire) Warren Buffet is an air-aholic and says he has a 1800 number to call anytime he's about to invest in an aviation stock," she said.

The two-day Asia Pacific Aviation Summit is being held in Sydney. Speakers include Tiger Airways chief executive Tony Davis, Jetstar boss Alan Joyce and Etihad chief James Hogan.

Date announced for 2011 World Cup final

The 2011 Rugby World Cup final will be held in New Zealand on the weekend of October 22-23, the International Rugby Board (IRB) said.

The final will be played at Auckland's Eden Park, the same venue for the inaugural World Cup decider in 1987.

A decision on the exact day of the final will be made during this year's World Cup, to be held in France from September 7 to October 20.

The IRB said it was still discussing the possibility of reducing the number of competing teams from 20 to 16 to avoid one-sided matches between mismatched teams.

US to push for Kosovo independence: Rice

US Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice has reassured officials from Kosovo that the United States will push for recognition of the breakaway province's independence from Serbia within months.

The officials, including Kosovo's prime minister and president, told Rice that they would not upend new negotiations by unilaterally declaring independence, but would coordinate any move with the United States.

"The United States made clear very firmly that the issue needs to be resolved sooner rather than later," Kosovo's president, Fatmir Sejdiu, said in an interview with The Associated Press.

The meetings follow the failure of the United States and European countries to win Russia's support of a United Nations Security Council resolution endorsing independence.

Following a move by the Security Council to set aside a resolution on Kosovo, the United States and the European Union said on Friday they would move the forum for deciding Kosovo's status to the Contact Group on Kosovo - which includes representatives from the US, Britain, France, Italy, Germany and Russia.

US and European officials have agreed to allow 120 days for further negotiations that would include talks with Kosovo and Serbia in a last attempt to reach an agreement.

Sejdiu says that the United States has reassured Kosovo that countries will move quickly after the 120 days have passed to recognise the province's independence.

That move would happen regardless of objections from other countries including Russia, according to Sejdiu.

"We can see that the United States is very serious about this 120 days of engagement and this was quite an assurance," he said.

"It is quite evident that independence will be the outcome at the end of that engagement period and that independence is inevitable."

US officials have said that the United States would move to recognise Kosovo within months, though they have not publicly specified the 120-day period.

During a visit to Albania in June, President George W Bush hinted that the United States could recognise Kosovo even without Security Council consent, saying there could not be endless negotiations over its independence.

Kosovo's population is predominantly ethnic Albanian

Newcrest lifts gold production

Australia's biggest gold miner, Newcrest Mining, has lifted gold production by a fifth in the three months to June 30 to a record 463,170 ounces, leading to a record output for the year.

Newcrest said gold production for the year was a record 1.62 million ounces, up from 1.53 million last year.

Gold production in Newcrest's Cadia Hill mine jumped 30 per cent "due to mining and processing higher grade ore", the company said.

Newcrest said operational performance at its Telfer mine in Western Australia "improved progressively" throughout the June quarter, after its biggest mine had been dogged by delays and cost overruns.

Open pit mining at the mine improved in May and June because of higher grades of gold being mined, the company said in a statement to the market.

Newcrest said Telfer was implementing a series of strategies to increase overall gold and copper recoveries, including increasing plant availability and "debottlenecking" parts of the plant.

Group copper production for the quarter was 22,188 metric tons, down 7 per cent from the corresponding period last year.

'Made in China' label may no longer mean cheap

THE rising cost of goods the US imports from China may be an early warning signal that central bankers from Britain to India are about to pay a price for a cause they have championed: globalisation.

China, a source of cheap manufactured products for the past two decades, may be starting to export inflation as the world economy grows at the fastest pace in a generation.

Prices of US imports from China increased 0.3 per cent in May from the previous month — "the first sign I have seen that this disinflationary pressure" from China's cheap goods may be fading, former Federal Reserve chairman Alan Greenspan said last month. Prices rose 0.3 per cent again in June, the biggest back-to-back increase since record-keeping began in December 2003.

With monetary policymakers struggling to contain pressures from other forces beyond their control — increased trade, faster capital flows and record commodity prices — officials including Bank of England governor Mervyn King and New Zealand's central bank governor Alan Bollard may have to raise interest rates or maintain them at higher levels for longer than they might prefer.

"Domestic monetary policies may nowadays be less potent in controlling domestic inflation than in the past, a disturbing thought for central bankers," says Joachim Fels, chief global fixed-income economist at Morgan Stanley in London.

The increasing integration of the world's economies isn't fully understood, even by those who have benefited the most from expanding international trade and investment. Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke has said it may complicate policymaking, and the benefits of cheaper imported goods are, at least, countered by higher costs for raw materials.

Booming global demand is already forcing up food and commodity prices and squeezing spare productive capacity at a time when more investment from abroad weakens central banks' grip on the supply of money in their economies. The International Monetary Fund predicts that the amount of slack will shrink to 0.1 per cent of global gross domestic product in 2008 from 0.4 per cent last year.

Officials and economists will debate the shifting dynamics of globalisation and its impact on monetary policy during the next two days at the European Central Bank in Frankfurt. Speakers at an invitation-only forum include ECB President Jean-Claude Trichet and Fed governor Frederic Mishkin.

The conference comes as China, the world's fourth-largest economy, reports the quickest pace of growth in a dozen years, pushing inflation to 4.4 per cent in June. On July 21, China raised its benchmark rate to an eight-year high of 6.84 per cent.

In the past, central bankers have harnessed the effects of low-cost production from China and other countries such as India to hold down interest rates and stimulate domestic growth.

Melbourne real estate on the rise

TALK of a real estate price surge in Melbourne since the start of the year gets little support from the first house price data survey for the June quarter. It shows prices rose at a solid rather than spectacular rate for the first six months of the year.

Median houses prices in Melbourne rose by 6.5 per cent in the year to June 30, according to data provider Residex. For the June quarter, growth was just 0.4 per cent.

The Residex data precedes the release of the closely watched figures from the Real Estate Institute of Victoria, which will be issued on Saturday and the Australian Property Monitors survey, which is due to be released today.

Residex chief executive John Edwards said the Melbourne market had been growing faster than Sydney for several years now and had been helped by strong levels of international migration into Victoria.

He expects the Melbourne market's expansion in the year ahead to be similar to its performance in the latest year.

A growth rate of 6.5 per cent would help lessen fears that sharply rising prices are adding to the housing affordability crisis.

But house price data can be volatile. Data providers use different statistical methods and samples to measure the market, which often leads to markedly different results.

While the Residex data points to slow growth in the June quarter, other evidence points to a pick-up in conditions in Melbourne.

Auction clearance rates have been above 80 per cent for all bar two weekends this year. The rate last weekend was 86 per cent, well above the 74 per cent clearance rate recorded at the same time a year ago.

And the part of the market where conditions appear strongest is in inner Melbourne where agents have been reporting strong interest and results at auction.

■ The Victorian Valuer General's price data for 2006, released on the weekend, showed the market grew at 6 per cent last year.

The data is far less timely than that released by the other providers, but it is regarded as accurate, because it is based on property sales documents.

Jul 23, 2007

Al-Qaeda split? Report says Zawahiri in control

New York: With Osama bin Laden keeping a low profile, al-Qaeda number two Ayman Al-Zawahiri has moved aggressively to take operational control of the group which has provoked a potentially serious 'ideological split' within the terror outfit, media reports said.


In a revelation, Newsweek magazine claims in its upcoming issue that the recent suicide attacks in Pakistan following storming of Lal Masjid by Pakistan Army to flush out militants were ordered by Zawahiri.


After years in which Zawahiri seemed constantly on the run, his alleged orchestration of last week's attacks would be further evidence that al-Qaeda and Taliban forces are newly empowered and have consolidated control of a safe haven along the Pakistani border, it said.


The magazine, which interviewed Pakistani and Taliban officials recently, said the anti-Zawahiri faction in al-Qaeda fears his actions may be jeopardising that safe haven. "Within the terror group, questions are being asked whether Zawahiri is growing too powerful, and has become obsessed with toppling Musharraf," the magazine said, quoting two jihadis it interviewed last week.


Both, the magazine says, have proved reliable in the past: they are Omar Farooqi, the nom de guerre for a veteran Taliban fighter and chief liaison officer between insurgent forces in Afghanistan's Ghazni province, and Hemat Khan, a Taliban operative with links to al-Qaeda.

Zawahiri has also been appearing in a recent flurry of audio- and videotapes. A new National Intelligence Estimate out of Washington last week also concludes that al-Qaeda is resurgent in Pakistan and more centrally organised than it has been at any time since 9/11.


The duo were quoted as saying Zawahiri's personal jihad has angered al-Qaeda's so-called Libyan faction, which intelligence officials believe may be led by Abu Yahya al-Libi, who made a daring escape from an American high-security lockup at Baghram air base in 2005.


The Libyan Islamists, along with bin Laden and other senior al-Qaeda leaders, would love to see Musharraf gone, too, the magazine says, but they fear that Zawahiri is inviting the Pakistani leader's wrath, prematurely opening up another battlefront before the jihadis have properly consolidated their position.


Pakistani intelligence officials, the report says, believe Zawahiri was behind two attempts to kill Musharraf that failed in December 2003. Since then, Zawahiri has been on an almost personal crusade to assassinate or overthrow the Pakistani leader.


In his latest video, which is among at least 10 audio and video spots he has released this year, and which was produced and put on a jihadist website in record time, Zawahiri condemned the Mosque raid and urged Pakistani Muslims to 'revolt', or else "Musharraf will annihilate you."


The Egyptian-born Zawahiri, the reports says, is nominal leader of the Egyptian faction, the Jamaat al-Jihad, which he united with al-Qaeda in the 1990s. It is larger and contains more senior people than the Libyan group. Both jihadis sources told Newsweek that there is now what Khan calls 'a clear divide' between the two factions.


"The Libyans say he's too extremist," Farooqi is quoted as saying by the magazine. "Libyans tell me that the Sheik (bin Laden) has not appointed a successor and that only the US government and the media talk of Zawahiri as being the deputy," Farooqi says.


A senior US official involved in counter-terrorism policy, Newsweek says, agrees that there are tensions between al-Qaeda's Egyptian and Libyan factions, as well as between Saudi and Central Asian elements. "These guys are not immune to nationalist tendencies," he says.


Bin Laden himself has not personally intervened to end the internal feud, according to the sources. For security reasons, he rarely has face-to-face meetings with his deputies. "He doesn't want to get involved," says Khan.


"He's already too busy with strategic planning and inspirational duties and with directing his own security." Instead, bin Laden has tried to resolve the dispute by dividing duties between the two factions and appointing a pair of mediators, the sources said.


However, American and Pakistani officials were quoted as saying the infighting also hasn't prevented Zawahiri and his al-Qaeda brethren, along with Afghan Taliban and militant Pakistani tribal leaders, from establishing a complex command, control, training and recruitment base largely in Waziristan.


The governor of Afghanistan's Khowst province Arsala Jamal told Newsweek that al-Qaeda and Afghan and Pakistani militants have moved some of their top fighters and commanders from Waziristan into safe areas in Afghanistan in case


Pakistani and US forces launch retaliatory raids. US counter-terrorism operatives, the magazine says, have been reluctant to cross into Waziristan for fear of violating Pakistani sovereignty and upsetting Musharraf. US and Pakistani officials, it says, hope that Zawahiri overreaches in his zeal to kill Musharraf, and they get an intelligence break on his whereabouts.

Jul 22, 2007

India set for first female president

Pratibha Patil, a diminutive 72-year-old lawyer, was set to be declared India's first woman president on Saturday after one of the bitterest political campaigns in the nation's post-colonial history.

The counting of votes started Saturday and the result - a foregone conclusion after the opposition conceded defeat for its candidate - was expected later in the day.

Sealed ballot boxes from across the country - where legislators voted in state capitals - have been brought to the parliament house for counting.

But the opposition said on Thursday that Patil had defeated its candidate, the incumbent 84-year-old Vice President Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, for the largely ceremonial job.
The voting followed a presidential campaign described by analysts as the most vitriolic in India's six decades of independence.

Sonia Gandhi, the president of the ruling Congress party, plucked Patil from political obscurity, saying her election would boost the cause of gender equality and be a "historic moment."

But Patil, a native of western Maharashtra state, was buffeted by accusations that she protected her brother in a murder probe and shielded her husband in a suicide scandal.

There were also claims of nepotism and involvement in a slew of financial scams.

Patil, a demure figure who dresses conservatively in a sari pulled over her hair, has denied any wrongdoing.

She has also been mocked for revealing that a dead spiritual guru gave her a "divine premonition of greater responsibility."

India's top news magazine, India Today, put her on its front cover with the headline "Embarrassing Choice."

Analysts say Patil has a tough act to follow in the form of India's popular, outgoing President Abdul Kalam. Congress rebuffed his bid for a second five-year term because, analysts say, it wanted a party loyalist.

The silver-haired, shaggy-locked missile scientist, who became a national hero after overseeing successful tests in 1998 that turned India into a nuclear power, was dubbed the "People's President" for his populist style.

Kalam, the son of an illiterate Muslim boatman, is known for his simple lifestyle despite occupying an opulent 340-room sandstone palace that housed the viceroy when Britain ruled the subcontinent.

Kalam said this week he will leave the palace where he has lived for the past five years with just "two small suitcases" after his term expires July 24.

A vegetarian teetotaller, Kalam has said he wishes to return to teaching at a university in Tamil Nadu after leaving the post.

He advised his countrymen, in a thinly veiled speech this week, not to "take gifts that come with a purpose and build families with character and a good value system."

Corruption is rife in Indian politics and bureaucracy.

Analysts have wondered whether Patil can resist the pressures of the ruling coalition and act independently.

Under the constitution, the prime minister holds the executive reins but the president plays a role in forming governments at state and federal levels, making the post hotly contested.

"The last few presidents have set a very high standard of non-partisan conduct," said analyst Mahesh Rangarajan. "We will have to wait and watch." - Sapa-AFP

India set for first female president

Pratibha Patil, a diminutive 72-year-old lawyer, was set to be declared India's first woman president on Saturday after one of the bitterest political campaigns in the nation's post-colonial history.

The counting of votes started Saturday and the result - a foregone conclusion after the opposition conceded defeat for its candidate - was expected later in the day.

Sealed ballot boxes from across the country - where legislators voted in state capitals - have been brought to the parliament house for counting.

But the opposition said on Thursday that Patil had defeated its candidate, the incumbent 84-year-old Vice President Bhairon Singh Shekhawat, for the largely ceremonial job.
The voting followed a presidential campaign described by analysts as the most vitriolic in India's six decades of independence.

Sonia Gandhi, the president of the ruling Congress party, plucked Patil from political obscurity, saying her election would boost the cause of gender equality and be a "historic moment."

But Patil, a native of western Maharashtra state, was buffeted by accusations that she protected her brother in a murder probe and shielded her husband in a suicide scandal.

There were also claims of nepotism and involvement in a slew of financial scams.

Patil, a demure figure who dresses conservatively in a sari pulled over her hair, has denied any wrongdoing.

She has also been mocked for revealing that a dead spiritual guru gave her a "divine premonition of greater responsibility."

India's top news magazine, India Today, put her on its front cover with the headline "Embarrassing Choice."

Analysts say Patil has a tough act to follow in the form of India's popular, outgoing President Abdul Kalam. Congress rebuffed his bid for a second five-year term because, analysts say, it wanted a party loyalist.

The silver-haired, shaggy-locked missile scientist, who became a national hero after overseeing successful tests in 1998 that turned India into a nuclear power, was dubbed the "People's President" for his populist style.

Kalam, the son of an illiterate Muslim boatman, is known for his simple lifestyle despite occupying an opulent 340-room sandstone palace that housed the viceroy when Britain ruled the subcontinent.

Kalam said this week he will leave the palace where he has lived for the past five years with just "two small suitcases" after his term expires July 24.

A vegetarian teetotaller, Kalam has said he wishes to return to teaching at a university in Tamil Nadu after leaving the post.

He advised his countrymen, in a thinly veiled speech this week, not to "take gifts that come with a purpose and build families with character and a good value system."

Corruption is rife in Indian politics and bureaucracy.

Analysts have wondered whether Patil can resist the pressures of the ruling coalition and act independently.

Under the constitution, the prime minister holds the executive reins but the president plays a role in forming governments at state and federal levels, making the post hotly contested.

"The last few presidents have set a very high standard of non-partisan conduct," said analyst Mahesh Rangarajan. "We will have to wait and watch." - Sapa-AFP

Jul 21, 2007

UN probes 'abuse' in Ivory Coast

The United Nations is investigating allegations of widespread sexual abuse and exploitation by peacekeepers serving in Ivory Coast.
The UN said a unit of its contingent in Bouake, a northern rebel stronghold, had been confined to base.

It would not give the nationalities of those troops under investigation.

Claims of sexual abuse have been made against UN troops on various missions, prompting ex-UN chief Kofi Annan to declare a "zero tolerance" policy.

"There have been crimes such as rape, paedophilia and human trafficking," he said in December 2006, shortly before leaving office.

He said sexual exploitation and abuse were "utterly immoral" and at odds with the UN mission, and would be punished.



A UN statement said the latest allegations had been uncovered by an internal inquiry, and a full investigation was now under way.


"But due to the serious nature of the allegations, the United Nations has taken the decision to suspend all activities of the contingent and has cantoned the unit within its base," it said.

The exact nature of the alleged offences has not been officially disclosed, but they are believed to involve sex with underage girls.

Unusual step

About 9,000 troops serve under the UN in Ivory Coast, which has been split between areas controlled by government and rebel forces.

The UN Security Council this week voted to extend the mission until January, in the hope that it can help create the conditions for elections, that have repeatedly been delayed.

According to the UN website, troops in Bouake come from Morocco, Pakistan, Bangladesh and Ghana.

It is not known which country's troops are under suspicion but, in an unusual move, the UN has confined its entire force in the town to barracks.

It is a sign of how seriously the UN is taking these latest accusations, says the BBC's Peter Miles.

Google mulls spectrum auction bid

Web search giant Google will take part in a US wireless spectrum auction if the Federal Communications Commission (FCC) adds a key condition.
Google will meet a bid level of $4.6bn (£2.24bn) - as long as auction winners also have to offer services on a wholesale basis to third parties.

The move comes after the FCC floated a plan for the spectrum sale that did not include the wholesale conditions.

Google had said the government should go further in promoting competition.

It comes after leading US phone firm AT&T backed an FCC plan that would require the winner of the auction to make some of the airwaves accessible using any device or software application.

But Google and some consumer groups had said the government should go further in opening up the wireless business to competition.

Long distance

At present, wireless carriers routinely try to restrict which models of cell phones that can be used on their networks.

They also often limit the software that can be downloaded onto them, such as ringtones, music or web browser software.

On Thursday, AT&T said it thought FCC chairman Kevin Martin had "struck an interesting and creative balance between the competing interests".

The airwaves are being sold in the 700-megahertz band and can travel long distances and penetrate walls.

Google would like to see customers to be able to buy any mobile device and be able to connect to a wireless network and have the full capability of the internet.

Speaking to financial analysts after the release of their quarterly profits, Google CEO Eric Schmidt said: "There is a direct connection between the open interoperable network we are arguing for in the FCC filing and so forth and the usage of Google services."

Google has filed a document with the FCC calling on it to make sure that under the rules of the spectrum auction, the networks up for grabs are open.

Fans finally receive Potter book

Fans finally receive Potter book

Australian fans get their hands on the latest Harry Potter book


Reporter's log: Joining the fans queuing for Potter
Harry Potter fans can finally find out their hero's fate, after the seventh and final book in the series went on sale across the world.
The first copies of Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows were snapped up just after midnight.

Author JK Rowling had admitted to "excitement, nerves and relief" as the launch approached.

"All the secrets I have been carrying around for so long will be yours, too," she wrote to fans on her website.

"Within hours you will know what happens to Harry, Ron, Hermione and the rest in their final adventure.

"Those who guessed correctly will be vindicated, and those who guessed wrongly will not, I hope, be too disappointed!"

Former speed reading champion and Potter fan Anne Jones was one of the first to finish the book, reading more than 4,000 words a minute.

"It's a real page-turner, great fun. The kids are going to love it but there are some sad moments in it," said the 55-year-old.

As the clock struck 12, Rowling read excerpts from her new book to 500 competition winners at London's Natural History Museum before embarking on an all-night book-signing.

Reading from the first chapter, entitled The Dark Lord Descending, Rowling's voice echoed around the auditorium.

"The two men appeared out of nowhere, a few yards apart in the narrow moonlit lane," she began.

Upsetting


JK Rowling held a moonlight reading of the book at midnight
Appearing on BBC One's Blue Peter on Friday, the author warned that the book could be upsetting for some readers.

"Will I cry?" asked Natasha, a young fan in the audience for the show.

"Have you ever cried before at a sad book?" asked Rowling.

"Well, I cried when Dumbledore died," she replied.

"I think you'll probably cry at this book, too," the author said.

325 million sold

A decade after the first instalment, Harry Potter has become a global phenomenon with 325 million books already sold.

That number will grow as millions of copies of the new novel are snapped up over the weekend.

It is being released simultaneously in 93 countries, with a print run of 12 million in the US alone and more than 2.2 million ordered in advance from internet retailer Amazon.

A few people who got the book early posted on my friend's blog, telling her the plot - she was devastated

Abi C
Harry Potter fan


Growing up with Harry
Send us your comments
Loyal fans will finally reach the climax of the story after 10 years of twists and turns in the life of the young wizard.

A final confrontation between Harry and his evil nemesis, Lord Voldemort, has been building throughout the series - and Rowling has revealed some characters do not survive.

Fans around the world queued in their thousands outside bookshops waiting for the late-night launch.

At Waterstone's in central London, an estimated 5,000 people turned up to enjoy the atmosphere. Many came dressed in character - as wizards, teachers, death eaters, giants and even owls.

Cahina Lewis, who joined the queue in a witch's costume, said: "For the last nine or 10 years it's been such a big part of my life.


Sophie Sproston was first in the queue at Cardiff Bay's Asda

"I've been talking to my friends about Harry Potter theories for so long, and I'm not going to be able to do that anymore. What will I do with my life?"

Stefanie Van Gompel, 16, from Eindhoven in the Netherlands, arrived in London on Wednesday morning to queue for her copy of the book.

"The Dutch version isn't released until December so it's not such a big deal over there," she explained.

Chellie Carr, 17, from Okemos, Michigan, said she pestered her mother to bring her to London.

"For all the other books she said: 'No. It's just a book.' But for this one, she said yes," she said.

All-night parties and Hogwarts Express-style train trips had been planned elsewhere around the world to celebrate the release.


These fans in Hong Kong could not wait to start reading

Staff at stores in Hong Kong will tour the city dressed as wizards, while in Bangladesh, customs offices continued to work on a Friday - a holiday in the country - to ensure the novel was delivered on time.

Stores in Taiwan and India are laying on "magic breakfasts" for early customers and a Sydney shop is taking fans aged from two to 84 on a train ride to a secret location to get the book.

In New York, a street party will include face-painting, wand-making, fire-eaters and magicians, while in Bangkok, an outdoor movie screen will show all the Potter films throughout the night.

Midwives ballot industrial action

Midwives ballot industrial action

Midwives have never taken industrial action
Midwives in England are to vote on whether to take industrial action, short of an all out strike, over pay.
The move by the Royal College of Midwives follows the government's decision to give a recommended 2.5% pay rise in two stages rather than one.

The RCM says this means the rise equates to only 1.9% over the year.

Last week, the Royal College of Nursing sent papers to its members to see if they would be prepared to vote over strike action.

It is sad that midwives have been pushed to this point

Dame Karlene Davis, general secretary of the Royal College of Midwives

Similarly, next week the union which represents health workers, Unison, will make a decision on whether to call an industrial action ballot.

The government offered nurses and midwives in England, Wales and Northern Ireland a 1.5% pay rise in April followed by a further 1% rise in November.

But devolved administrations in Northern Ireland, Wales and Scotland have agreed to pay the rise in full in one go.

The decision to ballot its 23,000 midwives for the first time in its 125 year history was taken at an RCM council meeting on Thursday.

Working to rules

The College says any action taken must not compromise the care they give to mothers and babies, which rules out a strike.

The industrial action could include a ban on working overtime and midwives instead working to their contracted hours, taking lunch breaks and finishing on time.

Midwives work an average of seven unpaid hours every week, equating to a £2 million saving for the NHS every year.

Dame Karlene Davis, general secretary of the Royal College of Midwives, said: "It is sad that midwives have been pushed to this point.

"Midwives' morale is not at rock bottom, it is subterranean. They are working harder and harder, delivering more and more babies with fewer midwives.

"To top this off they are not even given their full pay award, unlike their colleagues in Wales, Scotland and Northern Ireland. This is not about midwives asking for inflation busting pay rises, they are simply asking for fair play and fair pay."

She called for the government to "sit down with us, listen to our reasonable request and give midwives the pay award they deserve".

A Department of Health spokesman said: "Discussions continue with the unions about the 2007/08 pay award.

"The government has been committed to ensuring NHS staff are better paid and the pay award for health professionals in England is a fair award reflecting the balance between the right level of pay and the need to be vigilant against the threats of inflation."

The RCM expects to have a clear idea by September whether midwives are in favour of industrial action.

Chemo best for child brain cancer

Using chemotherapy instead of radiotherapy in children with brain tumours reduces the risk of long-term brain damage, say UK researchers.
Radiotherapy was thought to offer the best chance of survival for such tumours, despite a likelihood of future learning difficulties.

But a decade-long Lancet Oncology study in young children found safer chemotherapy is as good a treatment.

Children under three are particularly vulnerable to radiation side-effects.

A total of 89 children aged under three years who had been diagnosed with a type of rare brain cancer called an ependymoma all underwent surgery to try and remove their tumours.

It's clear from this study that a significant proportion of children can be spared, or have delayed, the effects of radiotherapy by using chemotherapy

Professor Richard Grundy, study leader

They were then given an intensive course of chemotherapy "the baby brain protocol" to kill off any remaining cancer cells.

Radiation treatment was reserved only for those children whose disease had spread or progressed.

But of these patients, the chemotherapy treatment managed to delay their need for radiotherapy by more than one and a half years, so the children were older and their brains were more developed.

Overall, 42% of the patients did not receive any radiation treatment for their cancer and almost two-thirds of the children - 64% - were still alive five years after diagnosis - similar if not better rate than with radiotherapy alone.

Side-effects

Around 350 children under the age of 15 are diagnosed with brain cancer each year in the UK, say Cancer Research UK who funded the research.

Around a tenth of these cases are ependymomas - equating to around 35 cases each year - half of which occur in children under the age of four.

Study leader Professor Richard Grundy, professor of paediatric neurooncology at the Children's Brain Tumour Research Centre, the University of Nottingham, explained that radiotherapy in young brains could cause short-term memory loss and reduced IQ.

"We know radiotherapy can be harmful to the developing brain, so avoiding it or using it at an older age if needed will hopefully reduce any learning difficulties these children may develop as a result of this treatment without compromising their chance of a cure."

Dr Judith Kingston, paediatric oncologist at Great Ormond Street Hospital said they were now trying the treatment in other brain tumours.

"It's becoming standard in the UK to treat young children in this way."

Amanda Froggatt, aged 16, was just two when she was diagnosed with a brain tumour.


Amanda was two when diagnosed and is now a healthy teenager

Her mum Diane is incredibly grateful that Amanda was able to take part in the trial.

"There was no need to have radiotherapy because there has been no change since the chemotherapy.

"She had mild learning difficulties but they're very mild and we don't know if it was because of any treatment or just one of those things.

"But with radiotherapy kids can have really bad problems."

Despite suffering a stroke due to the surgery she had to undergo, Amanda, who lives in Mansfield, is now a happy healthy teenager and about to start a foundation studies course at a local college.

"If she hadn't been able to have the chemotherapy she wouldn't be here now."

Jul 20, 2007

India concerned Haneef gets fair trial

INDIA is concerned about detained doctor Mohamed Haneef receiving a fair trial, the country's top diplomat in Australia says.

India's high commissioner to Australia Prabhat Prakash Shukla warned the Haneef case was being closely monitored in his home country.

Mr Shukla said India had faith in the Australian legal system, but some issues remained unresolved.

"I think some concerns have been put out in the past on the excessive publicity that a case like this gets, which sometimes does make a fair trial a little more difficult," he told ABC Radio today.

"The principal concern we have at the moment is there appears to be some additional information regarding the accusations against Dr Haneef.

"We are hoping that the Australian Government will be able to share that with us, and that will probably go a long way in addressing some of the concerns that have been aired."

Mr Shukla said he was in regular contact with the Federal Government, had met Australian Federal Police commissioner Mick Keelty briefly and expected to have a longer briefing on the case "in the near future".

"We are certainly following the evolution of the case very closely," he said.

The Indian-born Haneef has been charged with supporting a terrorist organisation after giving a mobile phone SIM card to a relative later accused of being involved in plotting car bomb attacks in the UK.

Mr Shukla said the Australian Government had assured him and the Delhi Government that Immigration Minister Kevin Andrews' decision to cancel Haneef's visa had not undermined his presumption of innocence.

The Government's reasons for revoking the visa were part of an ongoing dialogue with the Australian Government in Canberra and New Delhi, he said.

Meanwhile, Mr Shukla said it was too early to judge whether the case might deter Indian students from coming to Australia to study.

"I think a lot will depend on how the situation actually evolves," he said.

"Having said that, yes, I think this is matter that is being very closely observed back in India, that is certainly true."

India helps Vodafone reap huge profits

LONDON: In its interim management statement for the first quarter, Vodafone announced today that the Group's new business in India has registered 3.0 million customer net additions from completion of the acquisition until the end of the quarter, bringing the closing customer base to 30.8 million, up 75% on June last year. Year on year total revenue growth for the quarter was 50% in local currency, assuming the Group owned the business for the whole of both quarters.

Group revenue increased by 7.5% to £8.3 billion. The net impact of acquisitions and disposals, principally due to Turkey and India, contributed 5.3 percentage points to revenue growth offset by 1.8 percentage points from adverse movements in exchange rates.

India and Turkey business helped offset tough German and Italian markets, to give Vodafone a revenue topping most expectations. Vodafone, the world's second-largest mobile phone company by customers behind China Mobile, added 9.1 million subscribers in the three months to the end of June, taking its customer base to around 232 million.Group revenues climbed 7.5 percent to 8.3 billion pounds ($17.0 billion). Excluding acquisitions, organic revenue grew 4 percent as weakness in markets such as Germany and Italy cast a pall over a stronger performance in Spain and Britain.

Vodafone shares climbed over 2 percent in early trade and at 0750 GMT stood 1.32 percent higher at 161.3 pence, valuing the business at about 87 billion pounds.

The first quarter boosted by Hutchison Essar, India's third-ranked mobile group in which Vodafone secured a controlling stake for $11 billion in May. Vodafone said assets in India and Turkey had seen year-on-year revenue growth of 50 percent and 32 percent respectively, in local currencies.

Analysts said vodafone's promotional activities seem to be bearing fruit, though its European operations continued to face pressure.Compounded by Vodafone's move to slash once-lucrative prices for using mobile phones abroad, fiercely-competitive Germany posted a 6.3 percent drop in revenues. In Italy, where the so-called Bersani decree prohibits operators from charging top-up fees on pre-paid phone deals, revenues fell 3.1 percent.

The overall performance for the quarter is consistent with expectations and the Group is therefore reiterating its

outlook statement for the year ending 31 March 2008. The Group's expectations for average foreign exchange rates

for the 2008 financial year are unchanged from those announced on 29 May 2007.

Group revenue is expected to be in the range of £33.3 billion to £34.1 billion. Adjusted operating profit is expected to

be in the range of £9.3 billion to £9.8 billion, with the Group EBITDA margin lower year on year. Total depreciation and amortisation charges are anticipated to be around £5.8 billion to £5.9 billion, higher than the 2007 financial year, primarily as a result of the Vodafone Essar acquisition.

links